Domain 2 · 17 % of the exam10 questions

Predictive, Plan-Based Methodologies

Every question from one domain, in the order of the outline’s tasks. The percentage is the domain’s weight on the exam.

The questions are in English, as the exam is. Every question has a Macedonian explanation beneath it, opened on a click. This page is also a study sheet: even without JavaScript every question has its answer and explanation under “Check the answer”.

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Question 1 of 10

Predictive · Task 1easyone answer
Question 1. A regional water utility must replace the chlorination unit at one of its treatment plants. The specification is fixed by the environmental regulator, the work is let under a fixed-price contract, and the unit is of no use until it is fully installed and certified. Which development approach fits this project best?

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Correct answer

  • BPredictive

The choice of development approach follows the product and the project context. When requirements are stable and known up front, the contract fixes price and scope, and the deliverable cannot be split into independently useful parts, a predictive, plan-based approach is the fit. A candidate who chose hybrid was looking for a middle way that the situation does not call for; a candidate who chose incremental missed that the unit has no value until it is complete.

Why, option by option - Question 1

  • A. An adaptive approach suits requirements that are uncertain and expected to change through feedback. Here the requirements are fixed by a regulator before work starts, so there is nothing to discover iteratively.

  • B. Stable, externally fixed requirements, a fixed-price contract and a single deliverable that only has value when complete are the classic conditions for planning the whole scope, schedule and cost up front and then executing against baselines.

  • C. An incremental approach delivers usable pieces of the product early. A chlorination unit that cannot be used until it is installed and certified offers no increment with stand-alone value.

  • D. A hybrid approach mixes predictive and adaptive elements when part of the scope is stable and part is uncertain. Nothing in this project is uncertain enough to justify the adaptive part.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Барањата се утврдени однапред од регулаторот, договорот е со фиксна цена, а испораката нема вредност додека не е целосно завршена. Тоа се условите во кои најдобро одговара predictive пристап, каде опсегот, временскиот распоред и трошокот се планираат целосно на почетокот. Агилен или hybrid пристап има смисла само кога дел од барањата се неизвесни.

Where this sits in PMI

PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Development Approach and Life Cycle performance domain; Process Groups: A Practice Guide, section on tailoring and development approaches

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0023)

Question 2 of 10

Predictive · Task 1mediummultiple answers
Question 2. The project manager of a bank's core-system upgrade is listing the activities that belong to the Monitoring and Controlling Process Group. Which two activities belong in that group? (Choose two)

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Correct answers

  • AComparing actual progress with the schedule baseline and recommending corrective action
  • DReviewing change requests and deciding whether each is approved or rejected

Monitoring and Controlling is the group of activities that track, review and regulate progress and performance, identify where the plan needs to change, and manage those changes. Comparing progress with the baseline and running integrated change control are both squarely inside it. Acquiring resources is Executing, developing the charter is Initiating, and archiving and releasing the team are Closing. A candidate who picked option B confused doing the planned work with checking it.

Why, option by option - Question 2

  • A. Measuring performance against a baseline and recommending corrective or preventive action is the core of Monitoring and Controlling; it is what Control Schedule does.

  • B. Obtaining people, equipment and services for the project is an Executing activity (Acquire Resources). It carries out the plan rather than checking performance against it.

  • C. The charter is developed in the Initiating Process Group; it authorises the project and names the project manager before any control can take place.

  • D. Perform Integrated Change Control sits in Monitoring and Controlling: every change request is reviewed, decided and recorded there so the baselines stay under control.

  • E. Archiving records and releasing resources are Closing activities, performed once the deliverables have been accepted and the project or phase ends.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Во Process Group за мониторинг и контрола спаѓаат споредбата на напредокот со основната линија на временскиот распоред и одлучувањето за барањата за промени преку контрола на промени. Обезбедувањето ресурси е извршување, изработката на проектната повелба е иницирање, а архивирањето и ослободувањето на тимот се затворање.

Where this sits in PMI

Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Monitoring and Controlling Process Group and the Executing, Initiating and Closing Process Groups; PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Measurement performance domain

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0024)

Question 3 of 10

Predictive · Task 1mediumone answer
Question 3. A pharmaceutical manufacturer is expanding a plant in four sequential phases. At the end of the design phase, the steering committee examines the phase's deliverables against the business case and decides whether to authorise the construction phase, repeat the design work or stop the project. What is this review?

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Correct answer

  • CA phase gate

In a predictive life cycle the phases are separated by phase gates, also called stage gates or kill points: a formal review of the phase's results against the business documents and plans that ends with a go, no-go or rework decision. A milestone marks a point in time but carries no such decision; a kick-off follows the decision; a change control board rules on change requests, not on phases. A candidate who picked the milestone confused the point in the schedule with the review that happens there.

Why, option by option - Question 3

  • A. A milestone is a significant point or event in the schedule with no duration; the end of a phase is often marked by one, but a milestone is not itself a review with a continue-or-stop decision.

  • B. A kick-off meeting launches a project or phase after it has been authorised, to align the team on objectives and roles. The decision to proceed has already been made by then.

  • C. A phase gate is the review held at the end of a phase where performance and progress are compared with the business case and plans, and a decision is made to continue, continue with changes, or end the project. That is exactly what the steering committee is doing.

  • D. The change control board reviews individual change requests against the baselines. It does not decide whether the next phase of the project goes ahead.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Прегледот на крајот од една фаза, каде управниот комитет одлучува дали проектот продолжува во следната фаза, се повторува работата или се запира, е phase gate. Одредницата е само точка во временскиот распоред без одлука, kick-off состанокот се одржува откако одлуката е донесена, а одборот за контрола на промени одлучува само за барања за промени.

Where this sits in PMI

PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Development Approach and Life Cycle performance domain (phases and phase gates); Process Groups: A Practice Guide, project life cycle and phases

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0025)

Question 4 of 10

Predictive · Task 2mediumone answer
Question 4. A warehouse fit-out project has five activities. Activity A (3 days) starts the project. Activities B (4 days) and C (5 days) both start when A finishes. Activity D (2 days) starts when both B and C have finished, and activity E (2 days) starts when B finishes. D and E are the final activities. What is the duration of the critical path?

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Correct answer

  • B10 days

The critical path method finds the longest sequence of dependent activities through the network; its length is the shortest possible project duration, and every activity on it has zero float. Listing the paths gives A-C-D at 10 days and A-B-D and A-B-E at 9 days each, so the critical path is A-C-D and the answer is 10 days. Candidates who summed everything, or who added B and C together, forgot that parallel activities overlap.

Why, option by option - Question 4

  • A. Nine days is the length of the paths A-B-D and A-B-E. They are the shorter paths through the network, so activities B and E carry one day of float; the critical path is the longest one.

  • B. The path A-C-D is 3 + 5 + 2 = 10 days. The other paths, A-B-D and A-B-E, are 3 + 4 + 2 = 9 days each. The longest path through the network is the critical path, so the project cannot finish in fewer than 10 days.

  • C. Twelve days is A + B + C, which adds the parallel activities B and C as if one had to wait for the other. They start together after A, so only the longer of the two counts.

  • D. Sixteen days is the sum of all five activities. Adding every duration ignores that B runs in parallel with C and that D runs in parallel with E.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Според методот на критичен пат, критичниот пат е најдолгата низа зависни активности низ мрежниот дијаграм. Патот A-C-D трае 3 + 5 + 2 = 10 дена, а патиштата A-B-D и A-B-E по 9 дена, па активностите B и E имаат по еден ден float. Собирањето на сите активности или на B и C заедно ги игнорира паралелните активности.

Where this sits in PMI

Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Develop Schedule (critical path method and schedule network analysis); PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Planning performance domain (schedule)

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0026)

Question 5 of 10

Predictive · Task 2easyone answer
Question 5. At the end of the fourth month of a road-resurfacing project, the earned value (EV) is EUR 320,000 and the planned value (PV) is EUR 350,000. What is the schedule variance (SV), and what does it tell the project manager?

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Correct answer

  • ASV is minus EUR 30,000, so the project is behind schedule

Schedule variance is earned value minus planned value. Here it is 320,000 - 350,000 = -30,000. A negative SV means the project has earned less value than the schedule baseline called for by this date, so it is behind schedule. SV says nothing about money spent; a candidate who read it as a budget signal mixed it up with cost variance, which compares earned value with actual cost.

Why, option by option - Question 5

  • A. SV = EV - PV = 320,000 - 350,000 = -30,000. Less value has been earned than was planned by this date, and a negative schedule variance means the work is behind the schedule baseline.

  • B. The arithmetic is right but the reading is wrong. Schedule variance compares earned value with planned value and says nothing about spending; over or under budget is read from the cost variance, which needs the actual cost.

  • C. This subtracts in the wrong order (PV - EV). With less earned than planned, the variance must be negative and the project cannot be ahead.

  • D. Both the sign and the interpretation are wrong: the order of subtraction is reversed and schedule variance does not measure cost.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Schedule variance (SV) е earned value минус planned value, значи 320.000 − 350.000 = −30.000 евра. Негативната вредност значи дека проектот заостанува зад основната линија на временскиот распоред. SV не кажува ништо за трошокот; за тоа служи cost variance, кој бара и actual cost.

Where this sits in PMI

Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Control Schedule and Control Costs (earned value analysis); PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Measurement performance domain (earned value)

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0027)

Question 6 of 10

Predictive · Task 2easyone answer
Question 6. While reviewing the work breakdown structure of a store-refit project for a retail chain, the sponsor notices that the work packages under the "Fixtures" element add up to less than all the fixture work the contract requires. Which WBS principle has been broken?

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Correct answer

  • CThe 100 percent rule

A WBS is a hierarchical decomposition of the total scope of work, and its defining principle is the 100 percent rule: each level of decomposition must contain all, and only, the work of the level above it. When the work packages under an element sum to less than the element, scope is missing from the WBS and will be missing from the schedule and budget derived from it. Rolling wave and progressive elaboration explain how detail grows; the 8/80 rule concerns work-package size.

Why, option by option - Question 6

  • A. Rolling wave planning details near-term work and leaves later work at a higher level. It is allowed in a WBS, but even a high-level element must still represent all of the work below it.

  • B. Progressive elaboration is the refining of the plan as more becomes known. It describes how detail grows over time, not whether the children of an element cover everything the parent contains.

  • C. The 100 percent rule says the WBS includes all of the project's work and that the children of any element together represent 100 percent of that element, no more and no less. Work packages that add up to less than their parent break it.

  • D. The 8/80 rule is a sizing heuristic that keeps a work package between roughly 8 and 80 hours of effort. It is about the size of a package, not about whether the packages together cover the parent.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Структурата за поделба на работата мора да го содржи целиот опсег: работните пакети под еден елемент заедно претставуваат 100 % од тој елемент, ни повеќе ни помалку. Тоа е правилото „100 %“ (100 percent rule). Rolling wave planning и progressive elaboration опишуваат како расте деталноста, а правилото 8/80 се однесува на големината на работниот пакет.

Where this sits in PMI

Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Create WBS (decomposition and the 100 percent rule); PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Planning performance domain (scope and work breakdown structure)

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0028)

Question 7 of 10

Predictive · Task 2mediumone answer
Question 7. On a predictive software project for an insurance firm, a billing module has failed its inspection. The quality management plan says defects found in inspection are repaired and re-inspected before acceptance; the repair will push the module's milestone beyond the date in the schedule baseline, and the slip cannot be recovered. The change management plan says that any change to a baseline must be formally approved before it takes effect. What should the project manager do?

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Correct answer

  • DRepair the module and re-inspect it, and submit a change request for the schedule baseline to the change control board

The project management plan is followed as agreed. The quality management plan settles what happens to a failed deliverable, so it is repaired and re-inspected. The knock-on effect on the schedule baseline is a change, and changes to baselines go through integrated change control as the change management plan requires. Option A does the first half and then bypasses change control; option B trades the plan for a date by accepting defective work, and option C treats a baseline change as an issue to be logged instead of a change to be approved.

Why, option by option - Question 7

  • A. Following the quality plan is right, but a baseline is only changed through the change control process. The project manager cannot re-baseline the schedule on their own authority, even to record a delay that is certain.

  • B. This protects the date by abandoning the quality management plan. The plan states that inspection defects are repaired before acceptance, and acceptance of known-defective work is not a decision the project manager can make alone.

  • C. Following the quality plan is right, and logging the slip is harmless, but the issue log does not authorise a change to a baseline. Only an approved change request moves the schedule baseline.

  • D. Both plans are followed as written: the quality plan decides what happens to the defective deliverable, and the change management plan decides how the resulting baseline change is handled. The board, not the project manager, approves the new baseline.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Проект менаџмент планот се следи како што е договорен. Планот за квалитет вели дека испораката што паднала на испитување се поправа и повторно се испитува, а промената на основната линија на временскиот распоред што следува од тоа оди преку контрола на промени до одборот. Проектниот менаџер не смее сам да ја промени основната линија, ниту да прифати дефектна испорака за да ја одржи одредницата.

Where this sits in PMI

Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Control Quality and Perform Integrated Change Control; PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Delivery performance domain (quality) and Planning performance domain (baselines and change)

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0029)

Question 8 of 10

Predictive · Task 3mediumone answer
Question 8. At a status meeting on a rural-clinic construction project run by a non-governmental organisation, a team member reports that the local supplier has stopped deliveries and the site has been idle for two days. The project manager wants to record this with an owner and a target date for resolution. Where should it be recorded?

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Correct answer

  • DThe issue log

The dividing line is time: a risk is uncertain and lies in the future; an issue is certain and is happening now. A supplier that has already stopped delivering is an issue, and the issue log is the artifact that assigns it an owner and a resolution date and tracks it to closure. The change log holds change requests, the risk register holds uncertain events, and the lessons learned register holds what was learned after the fact. A candidate who chose the risk register missed that the event has already occurred.

Why, option by option - Question 8

  • A. A risk is an uncertain event that may happen. The supply stoppage has already happened, so it is no longer a risk; if it had been listed as one, its entry would now be closed and the event tracked elsewhere.

  • B. The change log tracks change requests and their status. No change to scope, schedule or cost has been requested yet; that may follow, but first the problem itself must be tracked.

  • C. The lessons learned register captures what was learned and what to do differently. Once the stoppage is resolved a lesson may be recorded, but it is not the place to manage an open problem.

  • D. An issue is a current condition or event that has already happened and needs to be resolved. The issue log records it with an owner, a priority and a target date, which is exactly what the project manager wants.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Ризикот е неизвесен настан што може да се случи; проблем што веќе се случил, како прекинатата испорака, е issue и се запишува во issue log со одговорно лице и рок за решавање. Регистарот на ризици е за неизвесни настани, change log за барања за промени, а lessons learned регистарот за наученото откако проблемот ќе се реши.

Where this sits in PMI

PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Models, Methods and Artifacts (logs and registers); Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Direct and Manage Project Work and Monitor and Control Project Work (issue log)

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0030)

Question 9 of 10

Predictive · Task 3easyone answer
Question 9. Halfway through the refurbishment of a hospital ward, the project's earned value (EV) is EUR 400,000 and its actual cost (AC) is EUR 500,000. What are the cost variance (CV) and the cost performance index (CPI)?

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Correct answer

  • ACV is minus EUR 100,000 and CPI is 0.80

Cost variance is earned value minus actual cost, and the cost performance index is earned value divided by actual cost. With EV of 400,000 and AC of 500,000, CV is -100,000 and CPI is 0.80: the project is over budget and is getting 80 cents of value for every euro spent. The two measures always agree in direction, so any option that pairs a negative variance with an index above one, or a positive variance with an index below one, can be ruled out before the arithmetic.

Why, option by option - Question 9

  • A. CV = EV - AC = 400,000 - 500,000 = -100,000, and CPI = EV / AC = 400,000 / 500,000 = 0.80. Both say the same thing: the project has spent more than the value of the work it has completed.

  • B. This reverses both formulas (AC - EV and AC / EV). A project that has spent 500,000 to earn 400,000 cannot have a favourable variance or an index above one.

  • C. The variance is right but the index is AC divided by EV. CV and CPI always point the same way: a negative CV goes with a CPI below one.

  • D. The index is right but the variance is AC minus EV. A CPI below one cannot go with a positive cost variance.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Cost variance (CV) е earned value минус actual cost, 400.000 − 500.000 = −100.000 евра, а cost performance index (CPI) е earned value поделен со actual cost, 400.000 / 500.000 = 0,80. Проектот троши повеќе од вредноста на завршената работа. Негативен CV секогаш оди со CPI помал од 1.

Where this sits in PMI

Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Control Costs (earned value analysis and variance analysis); PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Measurement performance domain (earned value)

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0031)

Question 10 of 10

Predictive · Task 3easymultiple answers
Question 10. The project manager of a predictive, plan-based bridge-repair project for a municipality is assembling the artifacts used to control the project against its approved baselines. Which two artifacts belong in that set? (Choose two)

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Correct answers

  • BThe change log
  • EThe work performance report

Controls on a predictive project compare what is happening with what was baselined and manage any deviation through change control. The work performance report carries the comparison, with variances such as SV and CV, and the change log carries the decisions that alter the baselines. The product backlog is an artifact of adaptive delivery, the business case justifies the project rather than controlling it, and the charter authorises the project before any control exists. A candidate who picked the charter mistook an initiating artifact for a controlling one.

Why, option by option - Question 10

  • A. A product backlog is the ordered list of work in an adaptive project; it is reprioritised continually and is not measured against a baseline.

  • B. The change log records every change request and its status. Because baselines are only altered through approved changes, the log is the record of how and why the baselines have moved.

  • C. The business case justifies the project and is revisited at phase gates to confirm it still holds. It is a business document, not a control artifact; performance is measured against the baselines, not against the business case.

  • D. The charter authorises the project and gives the project manager authority. It is an initiating artifact and is not used to measure performance or to control the work against the baselines.

  • E. Work performance reports present measured performance against the baselines, such as schedule and cost variances, so that decisions and corrective actions can be taken. They are the core control document of a predictive project.

Објаснување на македонски (explanation in Macedonian)

Контролата во predictive проект значи споредба со основните линии и управување со отстапувањата преку контрола на промени. Извештајот за напредокот со schedule и cost variance ја носи споредбата, а change log ги бележи одобрените промени на основните линии. Листата на планирани активности за Продуктот е агилен артефакт, business case го оправдува проектот наместо да го контролира, а проектната повелба само го овластува проектот.

Where this sits in PMI

PMBOK Guide 7th ed., Models, Methods and Artifacts (logs, registers and reports); Process Groups: A Practice Guide, Monitor and Control Project Work and Perform Integrated Change Control

Checked in two rounds by chapter volunteers; review by a certified board member is pending. Found a problem with this question? Write to us (capm-0032)

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Original practice questions written and reviewed by chapter volunteers. They are not PMI exam questions, are not endorsed by PMI and are no substitute for PMI’s official materials; they count towards no education hours and no PDUs. The exam is in English; the questions here are too. “PMI”, “CAPM”, “PMP” and “PMBOK” are registered marks of Project Management Institute, Inc. The chapter runs no exams - apply at pmi.org.

The questions follow the 2023 CAPM® Examination Content Outline and the PMBOK® Guide - Seventh Edition, which PMI names for this exam. When PMI revises the outline, the questions are withdrawn until they are re-mapped.